Get the full UFC 314 fight card breakdown with picks, predictions, betting odds, and parlays for Volkanovski vs Lopes and the main card.
When Alexander Volkanovski walks into the Octagon on Saturday night, he’ll be carrying more than just a belt. He’s bringing with him years of championship reign, legacy cemented in featherweight greatness, and a reputation for mastering chaos with calculated control.
On the other side is Diego Lopes, a fast-rising Brazilian talent with wild grappling flair, a fearlessness that borders on recklessness, and the type of stylistic X-factor that makes matchmakers and fans salivate. This is the type of fight that defines eras — one man looking to reaffirm his throne, the other chasing the biggest upset of the year.
Volkanovski is a master of the long game. Lopes? He wants to burn bright and burn fast. This isn’t just veteran vs prospect — it’s measured greatness vs explosive unpredictability.
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How To Watch UFC 314 (April 12, 2025)
Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Broadcast: ESPN+ PPV
🧠 Volkanovski vs Lopes: Style Breakdown & Historical Context
🔷 Alexander Volkanovski (26-3, 12-0 UFC Featherweight)
- Championship resume: Max Holloway (x3), Brian Ortega, Yair Rodriguez, Chad Mendes, Korean Zombie
- Strengths:
- High fight IQ
- Elite cardio and footwork
- Defensive layers few can solve
- Excellent range management
- Key Stat: Has never been submitted in his MMA career
“He’s like a Rubik’s Cube in motion. You might get a read, but it’ll cost you two punches and an angle,” — Former coach on Volkanovski.
🔶 Diego Lopes (23-6, 2-1 UFC)
- Recent performances: Sub wins over Sodiq Yusuff and Pat Sabatini
- Strengths:
- Rapid-fire submissions (armbars, triangles, leg locks)
- Unorthodox, chaotic entries
- Durable and aggressive
- Red Flag: Takedown defense at 50% and has never seen championship rounds
Alexander Volkanovski, left, fights Yair Rodríguez during a featherweight mixed martial arts bout during UFC 290 on Saturday, July 8, 2023, in Las Vegas. (Wade Vandervort/Las Vegas Sun via AP)
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Volkanovski | Lopes |
| Age | 36 | 29 |
| Height | 5’6” | 5’11” |
| Reach | 71” | 72” |
| UFC Record | 12-2 | 2-1 |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 6.1 | 4.9 |
| Takedown Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Avg. Fight Time | 20:52 | 6:43 |
💸 Updated Odds For UFC 314 Fight Card
| Market | Odds |
| Volkanovski ML | -400 to -425 |
| Lopes ML | +300 to +325 |
| Volk via Decision | +110 to +140 |
| Volk via KO/TKO | +250 to +300 |
| Lopes via Submission | +600 to +750 |
| Over 2.5 Rounds | -140 |
| Fight Goes the Distance | EVEN |
📈 Sharp Betting Analysis
🔐 Volkanovski by Decision
- Hit in 6 of his last 9 featherweight fights
- Master of neutralizing danger and piling up control time
- Excellent at dictating pace, creating a slow spiral for opponents
⚠️ Lopes by Submission (Longshot Value)
- Best win condition; not likely to outpoint or outlast Volk
- Dangerous early — needs to jump on an opening in the first 7 minutes
- Struggles if trapped in stand-up for extended time
Other Bouts In UFC 314 Fight Card
🥊 Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett
Division: Lightweight
Odds: Chandler (-225) | Pimblett (+180)
Pick: Chandler by KO/TKO
🔍 Fight Preview:
It’s hype vs havoc. Michael Chandler returns after nearly two years off, still hungry for big fights — and he gets one here against controversial rising star Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett. On paper, it’s a step up in competition that many feel Pimblett may not be ready for.
Chandler is explosive, aggressive, and known for walk-off chaos. He has big power, quick entries, and a wealth of top-tier experience. Pimblett, on the other hand, has been flashy but flawed in UFC bouts — surviving close calls and showing major defensive holes, particularly on the feet.
Unless Pimblett can tie Chandler up early or pull off a Hail Mary submission, this fight favors Chandler heavily — especially in the first seven minutes where he’s historically most dangerous.
Read our detailed preview of the Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett fight here.
📌 Prediction: Chandler presses early and lands the right hand that changes everything. KO in Round 1 or early Round 2.
💸 Best Bets:
- Chandler by KO/TKO (+120 to +150)
- Chandler in Round 1 (+200)
- Fight Does NOT Go Distance (-250)
🥊 Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva
Division: Featherweight
Odds: Mitchell (-160) | Silva (+135)
Pick: Mitchell by Decision
🔍 Fight Preview:
This classic grappler vs striker matchup pits submission-savvy Bryce Mitchell against heavy-handed newcomer Jean Silva, who’s stepping into a huge spotlight. Mitchell’s suffocating wrestling and control game have given him big wins over striking specialists like Edson Barboza and Andre Fili. His awkward but effective style is all about grind and positional dominance.
Silva, meanwhile, is an explosive debutant with 12 of his 13 wins coming via finish. He’s aggressive, fast, and hits hard — but is largely untested against elite grapplers.
If Silva can’t finish early, Mitchell’s takedowns and top pressure will wear him down.
📌 Prediction: Mitchell survives the early danger, imposes his grappling, and takes a clear decision.
Click here to find a detailed preview of Bryce Mitchel vs. Jean Silva.
💸 Best Bets:
- Mitchell by Decision (+150)
- Over 2.5 Rounds (-125)
- ⚠️ Silva by KO (hedge shot) (+375)
🥊 Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Freire
Division: Featherweight
Odds: Rodriguez (-170) | Freire (+140)
Pick: Rodriguez by KO/TKO
🔍 Fight Preview:
This is a battle of dynamic strikers — Rodriguez, the unorthodox and dangerous kicker from Mexico, faces former Bellator champion Patricio “Pitbull” Freire, who’s crossing over into his biggest UFC spotlight yet.
Rodriguez’s creativity, long-range attacks, and flashy kicks make him a nightmare for shorter, power-based fighters. He’s coming off a loss to Alexander Volkanovski but remains elite in movement and volume.
Freire is one of the most experienced featherweights in MMA history, but he’s undersized here and likely slower at this stage of his career. He’ll try to pressure and land something big, but Rodriguez’s reach, speed, and activity could overwhelm him.
📌 Prediction: Rodriguez controls the range and lands a late finish — likely a head kick or flurry as Freire fades.
Find a detailed betting preview of the Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull Freire here.
💸 Best Bets:
- Rodriguez by KO/TKO (+200)
- Fight Does NOT Go the Distance (-150)
- ⚠️ Pitbull by KO (hedge) (+400)
🥊 Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes
Division: Light Heavyweight
Odds: Krylov (-165) | Reyes (+140)
Pick: Krylov by KO/TKO
🔍 Fight Preview:
It’s a crucial fight for both men in a division desperate for clarity. Nikita Krylov is a wild but effective striker-wrestler hybrid, currently on the upswing after a brutal KO win in his last outing. He’s high-volume, aggressive, and dangerous in transitions — both on the feet and the ground.
Dominick Reyes was once a title challenger who nearly dethroned Jon Jones — but since then, he’s lost four straight, three of them by knockout. Despite clean boxing and powerful kicks, his durability has become a major concern.
If Krylov pressures early, keeps the tempo high, and makes this chaotic, he could overwhelm Reyes quickly. It’s a dangerous matchup for someone still trying to find their confidence.
📌 Prediction: Krylov stuns Reyes with a blitz and finishes with ground-and-pound or knees in the first two rounds.
Find a detailed betting preview of the Nikita Krylov vs Dominic Reyes fight here.
💸 Best Bets:
- Krylov by KO/TKO (+165)
- Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-200)
- ⚠️ Reyes by KO (hedge) (+300)
🧩 UFC 314 Parlay Builder
🔥 3-Leg Value Parlay (+600 to +675 Boosted)
| Leg | Pick | Reason |
| ✅ | Alexander Volkanovski by Decision (+110) | Reliable game plan & 5-round cardio |
| ✅ | Michael Chandler by KO/TKO (+130) | Too much power for Pimblett’s defense |
| ✅ | Bryce Mitchell by Decision (+150) | Wrestling advantage and durability |
💰 Est. Payout: ~$67 on a $10 bet
💡 Boost tip: Combine on DraftKings or FanDuel for enhanced returns
🧨 5-Leg Risk/Reward Parlay (+1500 to +1800 range)
| Leg | Pick | Reason |
| ✅ | Volkanovski by Decision | Control + volume = safe path |
| ✅ | Chandler by KO/TKO | Early finish likely |
| ✅ | Krylov by KO/TKO | Reyes’ chin still questionable |
| ✅ | Rodriguez by KO/TKO | Speed vs aging Pitbull |
| ✅ | Mitchell by Decision | Silva’s early threat fades late |
💥 Payout Estimate: ~$170 on $10
📌 High-value mix of logic and calculated aggression
💸 Updated Top Prop Bets – UFC 314
| Matchup | Prop Pick | Odds Range |
| Volkanovski vs Lopes | Over 2.5 Rounds | -140 |
| Volkanovski by Decision | Best method pick | +110 |
| Chandler vs Pimblett | Chandler KO/TKO (R1) | +150 |
| Rodriguez vs Freire | Rodriguez by KO/TKO | +200 |
| Krylov vs Reyes | Krylov by KO/TKO | +165 |
| Mitchell vs Silva | Mitchell by Decision | +150 |
✅ Best Bets Recap – UFC 314
| Main Event | Alexander Volkanovski via Decision (+110)
| Chandler vs Pimblett | Chandler by KO/TKO (+130 to +150)
| Rodriguez vs Freire | Rodriguez by KO/TKO (+200)
| Krylov vs Reyes | Krylov by KO/TKO (+165)
| Mitchell vs Silva | Mitchell by Decision (+150)
💰 Parlay Picks Recap
- 3-Leg Parlay: Volkanovski Decision + Chandler KO + Mitchell Decision (+600 to +675)
- 5-Leg Parlay: Add Krylov KO and Rodriguez KO to build (+1500 to +1800)
