Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction, Odds, Parlay Builder And Expert Picks (April 12, 2025)

Find the most accurate Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction here, as well as UFC parlays, prop bets and expert picks.

Featherweight fireworks are guaranteed at UFC 314 when former interim champ Yair “El Pantera” Rodriguez welcomes Patricio “Pitbull” Freire, the most decorated fighter in Bellator history, to the UFC Octagon. It’s a high-stakes showdown with divisional implications — and a dream-turned-reality crossover that fans have wanted for years.

Let’s break down everything you need to know from a betting angle, including the latest odds, sharp parlays, finish props, and expert predictions.

Check out our fully UFC 314 fight card preview here.

Bet $5 & Get $150 with FanDuel!

• Sign up to FanDuel SportsBook
• Bet $5 on any event
• Get $150 Bonus Bets
• Win with the earned bonus!

Bet Now

🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses (April 12, 2025)

📺 Where to Watch Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull? (UFC 314)

• Main Card Start Time: Saturday, April 12 – 10:00 p.m. ET
• Rodriguez vs. Pitbull Walkout Time: Approx. 11:00–11:30 p.m. ET
• Broadcast: ESPN+ Pay-Per-View
• Streaming: ESPN+ PPV (U.S.) | UFC Fight Pass (international prelims)

Don’t know how UFC betting works? Check out here.

🧮 Fight Odds (as of April 12)

Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds

• Over: -125
• Under: -105

📊 Tale of the Tape

🧠 Expert Picks

(According to BJPenn.com)

• Jim Miller (UFC vet): “I’ll say Yair, but it could go either way.”
• Chase Hooper: “I’m going with Pitbull. I think he uses his wrestling to win a decision.”
• Davey Grant: “Rodriguez will be too long for Pitbull, and the UFC experience helps.”
• Julian Erosa: “I have to go with Pitbull. He’s got the chip on his shoulder.”
• Youssef Zalal: “Rodriguez by decision. Experience and size matter here.”
• Modestas Bukauskas: “Pitbull can wrestle Rodriguez and get the win.”

🧾 ClutchBuzz Prediction & Betting Breakdown

📉 Recent Form:

• Rodriguez is 0-2 in his last two, both finishes — KO by Volkanovski, sub by Ortega.
• Pitbull is 1-2 in his last three, but 4-0 in featherweight bouts, including a vintage KO over Jeremy Kennedy last spring.

📌 Key Betting Angles:

• Pitbull’s low-volume but high-precision striking could impress judges — and his leg kicks may disrupt Yair’s distance-based kicking game.
• Rodriguez has a history of losing rounds off his back when he fails to get a submission.
• Pitbull has been submitted just once in 43 fights and thrives in three-round pace fights at this stage of his career.

✅ ClutchBuzz Expert Play:

Split exposure for reduced variance:

• 0.5U on Pitbull Decision No Bet (+116) – refunded if it goes to judges and he loses.
• 0.5U on Pitbull Moneyline (+170) – full win if he scores a KO or earns the nod.

🔗 Best Prop Bets

🔒 Lean: Rodriguez via Decision +140
Pitbull will have moments, but Rodriguez’s volume and length could sway the judges in a close affair.

🧩 Same-Card Parlay Builder (UFC 314)

✅ Rodriguez vs Pitbull – Fight Goes Distance (-115)
✅ Michael Chandler to Win by KO/TKO (+200)
✅ Bo Nickal by Submission (-150)
✅ Alexander Volkanovski to Win in Round 4 or 5 (+550)

💰 Total Payout (4-leg parlay): +2480

📌 Final Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction

While Rodriguez has the flair, volume, and UFC polish, Pitbull brings years of championship experience, savvy counter-striking, and leg kicks that could be the great equalizer. This one likely goes the distance, and it could come down to how judges value volume (Rodriguez) vs damage (Pitbull).

🧠 Pick: Patricio “Pitbull” Freire via Split Decision or Late TKO
💰 Best Bet: Decision No Bet (+116) & ML (+170)