Find the best Padres vs. Rockies prediction here. Two NL West teams trending in opposite directions clash at PETCO Park as the scorching San Diego Padres host the reeling Colorado Rockies. At the center of attention: MLB hit leader Fernando Tatis Jr. (.375 AVG) and red-hot Rockies infielder Kyle Farmer (.351 AVG), both sitting among the league’s top 10 in batting average.
San Diegoโs league-best .288 team average and top-five ERA (3.07) make them one of the most balanced teams through two weeks. Colorado, meanwhile, ranks dead last in runs scored and ERA, setting up a clear mismatch unless their rookie arm Chase Dollander can defy expectations in just his second MLB start.
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๐ Where To Watch Padres vs. Rockies? (April 12, 2025)
Colorado Rockies (3-10) vs. San Diego Padres (11-3)
๐ Location: PETCO Park โ San Diego, CA
๐ First Pitch: Saturday, April 12 at 8:40 p.m. ET
๐บ TV: SDPA, COLR
๐ฐ Line Movement: Padres -167 | Rockies +141 | O/U 8.5
๐ Key Betting Lines
Market | Odds |
Padres ML | -167 |
Rockies ML | +141 |
Total Runs (O/U) | 8.5 (-109 / -111) |
Run Line (SD -1.5) | +124 (SD), -149 (COL +1.5) |
Implied Win Probabilities:
- Padres: 62.5%
- Rockies: 41.5%
๐ Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: Team Trends
โ Padres (11-3)
- 7-1 as ML favorite this season (87.5%)
- 3-0 when favored at -167 or shorter
- 7-6-1 O/U this season
- Lead MLB in batting average (.288)
- Only 6.6 strikeouts per game (2nd in MLB)
- 4th in team ERA (3.07)
โ Rockies (3-10)
- 2-9 as underdog this season (18.2%)
- 1-6 at +141 or longer
- Rank last in ERA (5.10) and runs scored (3.1/game)
- 29th in strikeouts per game (11.0)
- Worst K/9 in MLB as pitching staff (7.2)
๐ Key Player Props
Padres
Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | RBI O/U | Notes |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.5 (+150) | 1.5 (-125) | 0.5 (+120) | 3 HR, .375 AVG |
Manny Machado | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+125) | 18 hits, .500 SLG |
Xander Bogaerts | 1.5 (+145) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+170) | 6-game hit streak |
Rockies
Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | RBI O/U | Notes |
Brenton Doyle | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+190) | 3 HR, 12 RBI |
Kyle Farmer | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+190) | .351 AVG |
Ezequiel Tovar | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+165) | .260 AVG |
๐ ClutchBuzz Same Game Parlay (SGP)
- โ Padres ML (-167)
- โ Over 8.5 Total Runs (-109)
- โ Tatis Jr. 2+ Total Bases (-125)
๐ฅ Odds: +325 (at most major books)
๐ฏ Why It Hits: San Diegoโs bats are firing, Coloradoโs pitching is not. Combine that with Dollanderโs inexperience and Tatisโ MVP-level form โ this is a high-run, lopsided affair.
๐ Injury Report
Padres
- Jake Cronenworth (Rib) โ 10-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (Elbow) โ 15-Day IL
- Joe Musgrove (Elbow) โ 60-Day IL
Rockies
- Thairo Estrada (Wrist) โ 10-Day IL
- Austin Gomber (Shoulder) โ 15-Day IL
๐บ Where to Watch & Stream
- TV Broadcast: SDPA (Padres market), COLR (Rockies market)
- Streaming: MLB.TV, Fubo, or local sports apps
โ Final Bets Recap
Bet Type | Pick | Odds |
๐ Best Bet | Padres -1.5 | +124 |
๐ฃ Top Prop | Tatis Jr. 2+ Total Bases | -125 |
๐ฏ Parlay Pick | Padres ML + Over 8.5 + Tatis TB | +325 |
๐ Value Prop | Doyle Over 1.5 Total Bases | +105 |