Find the Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction, odds, player props and same-game parlay picks here. The Boston Red Sox look to bounce back from recent inconsistency as they take on a struggling Chicago White Sox squad that has dropped eight of its last ten. Despite Chicago’s record, a strong outing from veteran Martin Pérez could make this a tighter contest than expected, especially facing Boston rookie Richard Fitts, who is still looking for his first MLB win.
Boston’s offense, led by Wilyer Abreu and Alex Bregman, has the pop, but they’ve underperformed as -160+ favorites this year. Chicago, meanwhile, hopes Lenyn Sosa and Michael A. Taylor can continue to spark a weak lineup that ranks near the bottom in runs scored.
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📺 Where to Watch Red Sox vs. White Sox? – Saturday, April 12, 2025
Boston Red Sox (7-6) vs. Chicago White Sox (3-10)
📍 Guaranteed Rate Field – Chicago, IL
🕓 First Pitch: Saturday, April 12 at 4:10 p.m. ET
📺 TV Broadcast: NESN, CHSN
🎰 Odds: Red Sox -160 | White Sox +135 | Total: 7.5 runs
🔢 Odds Breakdown
Market | Line | Implied Win % |
Moneyline | Red Sox -160 / White Sox +135 | BOS 61.5% / CWS 42.6% |
Run Line | Red Sox -1.5 (+106) / White Sox +1.5 (-127) | – |
Total (O/U) | 7.5 Runs (Over -115 / Under -105) | – |
📊 Clutch Score Prediction: White Sox 4, Red Sox 3
📈 Total Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
🔥 Best Bet: White Sox +1.5 (-127)
🧤 Pitching Matchup
🧱 Richard Fitts (BOS)
- Record: 0-2 | ERA: 6.14
- 3rd career MLB start
- Struggled with command and barrel rates in first two outings
🎯 Martin Pérez (CWS)
- Record: 1-1 | ERA: 3.46
- Averages 5.2 IP per start
- Heavy groundball pitcher, ideal for containing power bats in cold April weather
🧨 Red Sox vs. White Sox Prediction: Prop Bets to Watch
🔥 Player Props
Player | Market | Odds |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | Over 1.5 TB | +135 |
Alex Bregman (BOS) | RBI | +150 |
Nick Maton (CWS) | HR | +245 |
Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) | Over 1.5 TB | +125 |
Michael A. Taylor (CWS) | RBI | +250 |
💣 Top Prop Angle
- Nick Maton HR (+245) – Boston’s Fitts has allowed a high fly-ball rate and Maton has been the only real slugger in the White Sox lineup with 2 HRs.
- Bregman RBI (+150) – Leads Boston in runs batted in, likely hitting in the clutch with runners on against a pitch-to-contact lefty.
📊 Betting Trends
🔵 Red Sox
- 6-5 as favorites this season
- 0-2 when favored at -160 or shorter
- Hit the over in 5 of 15 games
- Most strikeouts per game in MLB (9.8)
⚪ White Sox
- 3-10 overall; 3-9 when +135 or longer
- Covered the spread in 5 of last 10
- 27th in scoring (3.5 RPG), 25th in team BA (.211)
- Top-15 in ERA (3.73) despite poor record
🔁 Same Game Parlay (SGP)
White Sox +1.5
🧾 Under 7.5 Runs
🧾 Nick Maton HR or RBI
💰 Payout Estimate: +450 (varies by book)
💡 “Low-scoring affair with both starters capable of limiting big innings. Chicago keeps it close, and Maton adds a big swing.”
🎤 ClutchBuzz Expert Take
💬 “The Red Sox have better bats on paper, but their K rate and lack of reliability as favorites make this a prime letdown spot. If Martin Pérez can keep inducing groundballs and Chicago scrapes a few across early, don’t be surprised if they cover or win outright.”
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Picks
Type | Pick | Odds |
🏆 Best Bet | White Sox +1.5 Run Line | -127 |
💣 Top Prop | Nick Maton HR or RBI | +245 / +165 |
🧨 SGP Play | CHW +1.5 + Under 7.5 + Maton RBI | +450 |