Get the latest Nuggets vs. Kings prediction, odds, player props, and same-game parlay picks here.
After a shocking late-season firing of head coach Michael Malone and GM Calvin Booth, the reigning champions now look to steady the ship with interim coach David Adelman. Despite sitting at 47–32, they’re on a 4-game skid and teetering toward the Western Conference play-in zone.
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings (39–40) are surging at the right time. Riding a three-game win streak, they’ve found life behind Zach LaVine and Domantas Sabonis, and they’ll look to keep their play-in hopes alive by feasting on a vulnerable Denver squad.
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Where To Watch Nuggets vs. Kings? (April 9, 2025)
📍 Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
🕙 Tip-Off Time: 10:00 PM ET
📺 Watch Live On: ESPN, NBC Sports California, ALT
📈 Odds: Nuggets -3.5 | O/U 235 | ML: Nuggets -170, Kings +142
📊 Team Stats Breakdown
🔵 Denver Nuggets (47–32)
- PPG: 120.7 (3rd in NBA)
- FG%: 50.6% (2nd)
- 3P%: 37.8%
- Rebounds: 45.7 per game
- Assists: 31.0 (1st)
- Points Allowed: 117.1 (25th)
- ATS: 35-44-0
- Last 10: 4-6 🧊
Despite their offensive efficiency and the brilliance of Nikola Jokić, Denver’s defense has fallen apart. Internal tension? Coaching uncertainty? It’s showing on the court.
🟣 Sacramento Kings (39–40)
- PPG: 116.0 (11th)
- FG%: 47.8%
- 3P%: 36.2%
- Rebounds: 44.3 per game
- Points Allowed: 115.5 (20th)
- ATS: 33-42-4
- Last 10: 6-4 🔥
The Kings are finally building momentum late in the season. Sacramento’s offense is clicking, but their defense is still a wild card. This will be a test of their toughness.
🎯 Betting Markets Breakdown
📐 Spread: Nuggets -3.5
- Denver ATS as -3.5+ favorite: 21–22
- Kings ATS as +3.5+ underdog: 9–8
🔎 Lean: Kings +3.5
With Denver dealing with chaos post-Malone, Sacramento has the cohesion and confidence to keep this game close — or win outright. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
🚑 Nuggets vs. Kings Injury Report
Staying informed on who’s in and who’s out is crucial for betting, fantasy lineups, and late-game shifts. Here’s the official injury report for tonight’s matchup:
🩺 Denver Nuggets
DaRon Holmes II – ❌ Out for Season (Achilles)
Jamal Murray – ⚠️ Day-to-Day (Hamstring)
If Murray sits, expect Reggie Jackson and Collin Gillespie to soak up minutes at PG, with Jokic handling even more playmaking duties.
🩺 Sacramento Kings
Keegan Murray – ❌ Out (Back)
Malik Monk – ❌ Out (Calf)
Jake LaRavia – ❌ Out (Thumb)
The Kings are light on wing depth without Murray and Monk. Expect heavy usage from Zach LaVine, Kevin Huerter, and potentially more minutes for Kessler Edwards or Davion Mitchell off the bench.
✅ Betting Insight
If Jamal Murray is ruled out closer to tip-off, keep an eye on Nuggets’ team total unders and look for prop value on Jokić assists, Aaron Gordon, and Michael Porter Jr. scoring lines.
💰 Moneyline: Nuggets -170 | Kings +142
- Nuggets as ML favorites: 37-21 (63.8%)
- Kings as ML underdogs: 9-19 (32.1%)
🔎 Lean: Kings +142 Upset Special 💣
This is a high-value moneyline bet. Denver is vulnerable and under pressure. If Sacramento controls tempo early, the home crowd could fuel a statement win.
🔥 Over/Under: 235 Points
- Nuggets O/U Record: 43-36
- Kings O/U Record: 33-46
- Last 3 Matchups: Averaging 240+ points combined
🔎 Lean: Over 235
Both teams rank in the bottom-third defensively and top-10 offensively. The total has hit the OVER in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matchups. Expect fireworks.
⭐ Player Props to Watch
🃏 Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)
- Last Game: 41 PTS, 15 REB, 13 AST
- Prop Picks:
- Over 27.5 Points
- Over 10.5 Assists
- Over 12.5 Rebounds
Jokić is doing everything short of coaching the team right now. Expect another massive stat-stuffing night.
🐺 Zach LaVine (Kings)
- Last Game: 43 PTS, 4 AST, 3 REB
- Prop Picks:
- Over 24.5 Points
- Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made
LaVine has found his groove and will be crucial against a soft Denver backcourt.
🧪 Nuggets vs Kings: Parlay of the Night
🧩 Same Game Parlay:
- Kings +3.5 ✅
- Over 235 ✅
- Jokić 10+ Assists ✅
- LaVine 3+ Threes ✅
💸 Odds: +700
One unit could return a solid 7x. If the pace is fast and LaVine stays hot, this hits.
🧠 Final Prediction & Best Bets
Final Score Prediction:
🔮 Kings 122 – Nuggets 118
✅ Best Bets:
- Kings +3.5 🟣
- Over 235 🔥
- Zach LaVine Over 2.5 3PM
- Nikola Jokić Over 10.5 AST
