Find today’s Rockets vs. Warriors prediction here.
Get ready for an intriguing clash between two teams built very differently. The Warriors bring championship pedigree, three-point firepower, and ball movement. The Rockets? Youth, physicality, and a frontcourt that’s hungry to disrupt.
The Golden State Warriors hit the road as slight 1-point underdogs against the Houston Rockets for Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Tip-off is set for Sunday at 9:30 p.m. ET at Toyota Center. The over/under for this matchup is 212.5 points.
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📺 Where to Watch Rockets vs. Warriors Game 1? (Sun, Apr 20 2025)
- 🗓️ Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
- 🕤 Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- 📍 Location: Toyota Center, Houston
- 📺 TV: Houston Rockets Broadcast
- 📡 Stream: Fubo (check regional availability)
🧮 Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Odds
| Market | Odds |
| Spread | Warriors -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline (GSW) | -210 |
| Moneyline (HOU) | +170 |
| Over/Under (Total Pts) | 223.5 (-110) |
Rockets vs. Warriors Last 10 Games
| Game # | Date | Matchup | Score | Winner | Streak | H2H (HOU – GSW) |
| 238 | Apr 6, 2025 | Warriors vs. Rockets | 96 – 106 | Rockets | Rockets won 1 | 110 – 128 |
| 237 | Feb 13, 2025 | Warriors @ Rockets | 105 – 98 | Warriors | Warriors won 1 | 110 – 127 |
| 236 | Dec 11, 2024 | Warriors @ Rockets | 90 – 91 | Rockets | Rockets won 1 | 109 – 127 |
| 235 | Dec 5, 2024 | Warriors vs. Rockets | 99 – 93 | Warriors | Warriors won 15 | 109 – 126 |
| 234 | Nov 2, 2024 | Warriors @ Rockets | 127 – 121 (OT) | Warriors | Warriors won 14 | 108 – 126 |
| 233 | Apr 4, 2024 | Warriors @ Rockets | 133 – 110 | Warriors | Warriors won 13 | 107 – 126 |
| 232 | Nov 20, 2023 | Warriors vs. Rockets | 121 – 116 | Warriors | Warriors won 12 | 106 – 126 |
| 231 | Oct 29, 2023 | Warriors @ Rockets | 106 – 95 | Warriors | Warriors won 11 | 105 – 126 |
| 230 | Mar 20, 2023 | Warriors @ Rockets | 121 – 108 | Warriors | Warriors won 10 | 104 – 126 |
| 229 | Feb 24, 2023 | Warriors vs. Rockets | 116 – 101 | Warriors | Warriors won 9 | 103 – 126 |
🔥 Top Prop Bets
⭐ Stephen Curry (Warriors)
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 25.5 | 24.5 | -110 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.4 | +100 |
| Assists | 5.5 | 6.0 | +100 |
| 3PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | -105 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
Curry’s assist line looks beatable — especially with the Rockets likely blitzing him off the screen. Look for value on his playmaking.
🧊 Jimmy Butler (Heat)
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 22.5 | 17.5 | +100 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 5.4 | -139 |
| Assists | 5.5 | 5.4 | -118 |
| 3PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | -200 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
Butler’s point prop is inflated. Unless he turns back the clock, expect value on the under here.
🧱 Draymond Green (Warriors)
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 8.5 | 9.0 | -133 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 6.1 | -105 |
| Assists | 5.5 | 5.6 | +105 |
| 3PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | +165 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
Draymond is a parlay glue piece. Don’t sleep on his passing — he hit 5+ dimes in 7 of his last 9 games.
🚀 Rockets Player Props
📈 Alperen Sengun
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 20.5 | 19.1 | -105 |
| Rebounds | 10.5 | 10.3 | -105 |
| Assists | 4.5 | 4.9 | -120 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
Sengun is live across all props. The Warriors have struggled with dominant interior players — especially those who can pass out of doubles.
🔥 Jalen Green
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 20.5 | 21.0 | -125 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.6 | -111 |
| Assists | 3.5 | 3.4 | +100 |
| 3PM | 2.5 | 2.9 | -105 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
We love the over on 3-pointers here. Green shoots confidently, especially when at home. Could be a sneaky +EV look.
🎯 Amen Thompson
| Stat | Line | Season Avg | Over Odds |
| Points | 14.5 | 14.1 | -115 |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | 8.2 | +105 |
| Assists | 4.5 | 3.8 | +105 |
| 3PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | +135 |
🧠 Prop Insight:
His rebound line is playable, but don’t expect him to hit the 3-pointer line consistently — low volume and shaky stroke.
💰 ClutchBuzz Same-Game Parlay (SGP)
Here’s a +495 odds SGP you can ride for this matchup:
- Stephen Curry 6+ Assists (+100)
- Jalen Green 3+ Made Threes (-105)
- Sengun 20+ Points (-105)
- Over 225.5 Total Points (-110)
Total Odds: +495 💸
Lock this in if you like balanced risk and upside. The over hinges on a Rockets pace push.
🧠 Final Clutch Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction
This one’s going to be decided by tempo. If the Rockets get downhill, crash the glass, and hit early transition threes, they can hang. But if Golden State slows things down and shoots 38%+ from deep, it’s game over.
Clutch Lean:
- Spread Pick: Rockets +5.5 (projected)
- Total: Over 225.5
- MVP Watch: Curry (for playmaking), Sengun (for volume scoring)
