Preview today’s Rockets vs. Warriors with expert picks, odds, prop bets, and a same game parlay. The Golden State Warriors trail 0-1 in their first-round NBA Playoff series against the Houston Rockets, heading into a pivotal Game 2. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET, with the Rockets favored by 3 points. The total for this matchup is set at 203.5 points.
Looking to make the smartest wagers on Wednesday night’s clash? Here’s a breakdown of the best bets, backed by recent data and betting trends.
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📺 Where to Watch Rockets vs. Warriors Game 2? (Wednesday, Apr 23 2025)
- Matchup: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV/Stream: Golden State Warriors Network, NBA League Pass
Betting Odds
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total Points |
| FanDuel | Rockets -3.5 | Rockets -162 / Warriors +136 | 202.5 |
| BetMGM | Rockets -3.5 | Rockets -160 / Warriors +135 | 203.5 |
| DraftKings | Rockets -2.5 | Rockets -158 / Warriors +134 | 203.5 |
🔥 Best Bets for Rockets vs. Warriors
🧢 Spread Pick: Warriors +3
- The Rockets are 42-40 ATS this season.
- The Warriors are 41-41 ATS, showing nearly identical performance.
- Houston is 25-23-1 ATS when favored by 3 or more points.
- Golden State has been underdogs of 3+ points in 17 games, going 11-6 ATS in those situations.
✅ Recommendation: Back the Warriors to cover the +3 spread in a bounce-back performance.
📈 Over/Under Pick: Over 203.5 Points
- The Rockets have hit the Over in 65 games, while the Warriors have done so in 68—a combined 80% rate.
- These teams average a combined 228.1 PPG, well above the set total of 203.5.
- Their opponents also combine to allow 220.3 PPG, supporting a high-scoring affair.
✅ Recommendation: Take the Over. The total is set unusually low given these teams’ scoring trends.
💵 Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-155)
- Houston is 42-12 (77.8%) as a moneyline favorite this season.
- Golden State is just 11-15 (42.3%) as a moneyline underdog.
- When favored by -155 or shorter, the Rockets are 37-11 on the moneyline.
- The Warriors have gone 7-10 (41.2%) when priced at +130 or longer.
🔢 Implied Probabilities:
- Rockets: 60.8% chance to win
- Warriors: 43.5% chance to win
✅ Recommendation: Back the Rockets on the moneyline if you’re avoiding the spread and looking for a safe play.
🔥 Top Player Prop Bets
Alperen Sengun – Over 20.5 Points (-115)
Sengun dominated in Game 1 with 26 points on 11-of-18 shooting. Given the Warriors’ struggles defending the paint, Sengun is poised for another strong performance.
Stephen Curry – Over 25.5 Points (-108)
Curry scored 31 points in Game 1 and has averaged 31.8 points over his last five road games. Expect him to continue leading the Warriors’ offense.
Jalen Green – Over 18.5 Points (-111)
After a subpar Game 1, Green is expected to bounce back. He averaged nearly 26 points per game in a recent three-game stretch, including a win over the Warriors.
🧩 Same-Game Parlay Options
Parlay 1: Rockets Bounce Back (+351)
- Rockets -3.5 (-108)
- Alperen Sengun Over 20.5 Points (-162)
- Jimmy Butler 1+ Made Three-Pointer (-200)
This parlay banks on the Rockets covering the spread, Sengun continuing his scoring prowess, and Butler contributing from beyond the arc.
Parlay 2: Warriors Keep It Close (+625)
- Warriors +3.5 (-112)
- Stephen Curry Over 25.5 Points (-108)
- Fred VanVleet Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-115)
This combination anticipates a tight game with Curry leading the charge and VanVleet struggling from deep.
🧠 What Is Today’s Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction?
The Warriors will be desperate to avoid falling into a 0-2 hole, but the Rockets’ efficiency as favorites—especially at home—can’t be ignored. Expect a competitive game that leans toward the Over, with value on Golden State against the spread and the Rockets to win outright.
