Check here Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction for tomorrow. The Oklahoma City Thunder enter the playoffs with serious momentum and title ambitions. After a 68-win regular season, OKC looks every bit the powerhouse No. 1 seed they’ve proven to be for six straight months. Falling short of a deep playoff run would be nothing short of shocking.
On the flip side, the Memphis Grizzlies aren’t your typical No. 8 seed. With 48 wins and an offense that ranked near the top of the league in scoring, they’re built to be a problem. Ja Morant is capable of swinging a game — or a series — on his own.
Memphis was once the No. 2 seed in the West earlier this season before sliding in a loaded conference. Head coach Taylor Jenkins was eventually let go, a move that signaled how high the bar really was for this team.
Game 1 tips off Sunday, April 20, at 10:00 a.m. MST / 1:00 p.m. ET at Paycom Center in OKC.
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📺 Where to Watch Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 1? (Sun, Apr 20 2025)
| 🔥 Matchup | Memphis Grizzlies @ Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 📅 Date & Time | Sunday, April 20 — 1:00 PM ET |
| 📍 Venue | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City |
| 📺 How to Watch | ABC / Fubo (streaming) |
| 💰 Odds (BetMGM) | OKC -13.5 |
💡 Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: The Breakdown
🚀 OKC Thunder: Locked and Loaded
OKC has looked like the most complete team in the league. They didn’t lose more than two straight games all season. They crushed teams above .500 (36-12) and were monsters on the road (32-8). The Thunder are deep, versatile, and dangerous.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: MVP vibes all season. Led the league with 32.7 PPG.
- Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren: Two-way threats.
- Bench Unit: Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, and Jaylin Williams bring grit, defense, and IQ.
📈 OKC enters the playoffs with the second-best point differential in NBA history (+12.8).
🐻 Memphis Grizzlies: On Thin Ice
This was supposed to be Memphis’ year… until it wasn’t.
- They were 35-16 in early February, eyeing a top seed.
- Then came the collapse: 13-18 to close the season.
- Lost their first play-in vs. the Warriors, but outlasted the Mavs to slide into the 8-spot.
The Grizz are talented, but Ja Morant is banged up (ankle), and their defense? Kinda sus.
🔥 Matchups That Matter
SGA vs. Ja Morant
Two elite guards, but this might be one-sided. SGA’s a three-level scorer with elite defense. Ja’s playing hurt — and if he’s not at full speed, OKC’s backcourt might eat.
Bane & Pippen Jr. vs. Dort & Jalen Williams
Offensively, the Grizzlies backcourt can score. Defensively? Not so much. Dort is a lockdown guy and Williams can switch everything.
Frontcourt War
- Chet & Hartenstein vs. Jackson Jr. & Zach Edey
Chet’s mobility and shot-blocking make him a matchup problem. Edey can bang in the post, but OKC’s versatility wins this duel.
💵 Prop Watch
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3PM |
| SGA | Over 32.5 | – | – | – |
| Ja Morant | Under 21.5 | – | – | – |
| Chet Holmgren | Over 17.5 | – | – | – |
✅ SGA averaged 36.2 PPG vs. Memphis this year.
⛔ Ja’s ankle could hold him under 20 again.
📈 Chet’s due — this is a bounce-back spot.
💸 ClutchBuzz Same-Game Parlay Picks – Thunder vs. Grizzlies
🎯 Standard Parlay (Low Risk, High Confidence)
Odds: +350 to +400 (varies by book)
✅ Designed for smart bankroll building.
- ✅ Thunder -13.5 spread
- ✅ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points
- ✅ Game Total Over 221.5
Why it works: OKC has hit 120+ in 6 of their last 8 home games, and Memphis is leaky on defense. SGA should feast, and a 10+ point win feels safe given the mismatch.
💥 Player Performance Parlay (Stars Shine)
Odds: +600 to +800
- ✅ SGA 30+ Points
- ✅ Chet Holmgren 15+ Points
- ✅ Jaren Jackson Jr. 8+ Rebounds
- ✅ Anthony Edwards (Oops 😅 meant Ja Morant) Under 22.5 Points
Why it works:
SGA is on a heater and dominates Memphis. Chet has a size/spacing advantage. JJJ is going to need to crash the glass. Ja’s ankle is a concern — we’re fading his ceiling.
💎 High-Risk / High-Reward Parlay (Let’s Get Spicy)
Odds: +1200 or higher
- ✅ Thunder Win by 15+ (Alt Spread)
- ✅ Chet Holmgren Over 19.5 Points
- ✅ Desmond Bane Over 3.5 Made Threes
- ✅ SGA 35+ Points
Why it works:
Chet’s due for a breakout, Bane’s gonna need to launch from deep, and SGA lives for the moment. If OKC blows the door open, this could cash early in Q4.
🧪 Bonus Same-Game Parlay (+900)
- ✅ Thunder ML
- ✅ SGA 30+ Points
- ✅ Ja Morant Under 6.5 Assists
- ✅ Total Points Over 226.5
📉 Morant hasn’t looked like himself and likely won’t facilitate as much. Thunder should hit their offensive ceiling, pushing this over comfortably.
🔮 ClutchBuzz Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction
OKC’s defense is elite. Their offense? Just as scary. Unless Ja Morant goes nuclear (and healthy), this could get ugly fast. Expect the Thunder to control the pace, limit mistakes, and keep Memphis stuck in the mud.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 123, Grizzlies 107
