The LSU Tigers (No. 3 seed) take on the San Diego State Aztecs (No. 14 seed) in the first round of the NCAA Women’s Tournament. This game pits LSU’s dominant offense against San Diego State’s defensive prowess, creating an exciting battle between scoring power and defensive discipline.
Below, we break down the betting odds, key stats, best bets, and predictions for this March Madness showdown.
📊 LSU vs. San Diego State Odds & Betting Lines
📌 Odds are subject to change. Check Caesars sportsbook special bonus for the latest lines.
LSU enters as a heavy favorite due to their offensive firepower, but San Diego State’s defense could make this closer than expected.
🐯 LSU Tigers Betting Analysis & Key Stats
The LSU Tigers (28-5) have one of the most explosive offenses in the NCAA. Their high-tempo style and star-studded roster make them a legitimate championship contender.
✅ PPG (Points Per Game): 85.1 (Ranked 5th nationally)
✅ FG% (Field Goal Percentage): 48.7%
✅ 3PT% (Three-Point Percentage): 36.2%
✅ Turnovers per Game: 11.3
✅ Defensive Rating: 66.9 PPG allowed
🔑 Key Players to Watch – LSU Tigers
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Angel Reese (F): 20.3 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 2.3 APG
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Flau’jae Johnson (G): 18.9 PPG, 3.4 APG, 6.2 RPG
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Mikaylah Williams (G): 13.6 PPG, 3.0 APG, 5.0 RPG
🔥 LSU’s Strengths:
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High-Scoring Offense: Ranked top 5 nationally, scoring 85.1 PPG.
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Elite Rebounding: Second-chance points are a big advantage.
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Depth in Scoring: Multiple players averaging double figures.
⚠️ LSU’s Weaknesses:
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Turnovers: 11.3 per game—could be exploited by San Diego State’s defense.
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Free Throw Struggles: Shooting only 71.2% from the line.
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Can be caught off guard defensively—allowing 66.9 PPG.
🐺 San Diego State Aztecs Betting Analysis & Key Stats
The San Diego State Aztecs (25-9) rely on a defense-first strategy, allowing them to compete against top teams despite a slower-paced offense.
✅ PPG (Points Per Game): 67.3
✅ FG% (Field Goal Percentage): 44.8%
✅ 3PT% (Three-Point Percentage): 34.9%
✅ Turnovers per Game: 9.1
✅ Defensive Rating: 59.7 PPG allowed (Ranked 4th nationally)
🔑 Key Players to Watch – San Diego State Aztecs
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Veronica Sheffey (G): 11.4 PPG, 3.0 APG, 4.2 RPG
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Cali Bradley (F): 13.6 PPG, 8.5 RPG
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Jada Moore (G): 10.2 PPG, 2.8 APG
🔥 San Diego State’s Strengths:
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Elite Defense: Allowing just 59.7 PPG, ranked 4th in the nation.
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Strong Ball Control: Only 9.1 turnovers per game—one of the best marks in the NCAA.
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Can slow the game down: Forcing low-scoring battles benefits them.
⚠️ San Diego State’s Weaknesses:
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Lack of Offensive Firepower: Averaging just 67.3 PPG.
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Rebounding Struggles: Could get dominated inside by Angel Reese and LSU.
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If they fall behind early, it’s tough to come back.
🏀 LSU vs. San Diego State Head-to-Head Matchup
| Category | LSU Tigers | San Diego State Aztecs |
|---|---|---|
| PPG | 85.1 | 67.3 |
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.9% |
| Turnovers per Game | 11.3 | 9.1 |
| Points Allowed per Game | 66.9 | 59.7 |
📌 Key Takeaway: LSU’s offense vs. SDSU’s defense will determine the winner.
💰 Betting Predictions & Best Bets
🔥 Expert Pick: San Diego State +24.5 (-110)
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LSU will win, but San Diego State’s defense can keep the margin respectable.
📉 Best Prop Bets
✅ Under 145.5 Total Points (-110)
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San Diego State’s slow pace and defense should limit scoring.
✅ Angel Reese Over 10.5 Rebounds (-120)
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LSU’s star forward is a rebounding machine.
✅ Flau’jae Johnson Over 18.5 Points (-110)
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LSU’s go-to scorer will shine on the big stage.
📅 Game Information
📅 Date: Saturday, March 22, 2025
📍 Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
📺 TV Broadcast: ESPN
🎟️ Tickets: Available via NCAA March Madness site
📢 Final Thoughts – Can LSU Cover the Spread?
📌 LSU will win, but the margin could be closer than expected. If San Diego State’s defense holds, the Aztecs can cover +24.5. You can check the women’s NCAA 2025 bracket here.
📌 For bettors, the best plays are:
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✅ Under 145.5 (Defense slows down the game)
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✅ San Diego State +24.5 (LSU wins but doesn’t cover)
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✅ Angel Reese Over 10.5 Rebounds (Dominant inside presence)
🔥 Who are you betting on? Let us know! 🏀💸
