The Florida Panthers will try to take a 3-1 series stranglehold over the Tampa Bay Lightning when they host Game 4 tonight at Amerant Bank Arena. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Tampa Bay hopes to even the series behind the elite play of Nikita Kucherov and goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy, but the Panthers will have home-ice momentum on their side.
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📊 Where To Watch Panthers vs. Lightning? (April 28, 2025)
| Category | Details |
| Date | Monday, April 28, 2025 |
| Time | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| Location | Amerant Bank Arena — Sunrise, FL |
| TV | ESPN |
| Streaming | Fubo |
💰 Lightning vs Panthers Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Odds |
| Moneyline | Panthers -142 / Lightning +120 |
| Over/Under | 5.5 Goals (Over/Under -110) |
| Puck Line | Lightning +1.5 (-205) |
➡️ Odds updated as of April 28, 2025.
📈 Betting Trends
| Team | Over 5.5 Record | Avg Goals For | Avg Goals Against |
| Panthers | 42 Games | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Lightning | 47 Games | 3.6 | 2.6 |
Quick Insights:
- These teams combine for 6.6 goals per game — 1.1 more than tonight’s total.
- Combined goals allowed per game: 5.4, suggesting a slight edge to Under.
🔁 Game Series Recap
| Game | Result | Series Status |
| 1 | Panthers Win | FLA 1-0 |
| 2 | Lightning Win | Tied 1-1 |
| 3 | Panthers Win | FLA 2-1 |
- Florida bounced back in Game 3 with a tough defensive showing.
- Tampa Bay needs stronger offensive push outside of Kucherov and Hagel.
🚑 Lightning vs Panthers Injury Report
| Team | Player | Injury | Status |
| Panthers | None | – | All players available |
| Lightning | Oliver Bjorkstrand | Lower Body | Out |
🎯 Key Player Prop Bets
| Player | Prop Type | Line | Pick |
| Aleksander Barkov | Shots on Goal | Over 1.5 (-182) | Over |
| Sam Reinhart | First Goalscorer | +800 | Value Play |
| Nikita Kucherov | Points | Over 1.5 (+145) | Over (value play) |
| Nikita Kucherov | Assists | Over 0.5 (-175) | Over |
Notes:
- Barkov has cleared 1.5 SOG in 4 straight home games.
- Kucherov remains Tampa’s engine offensively, with 120 points on the season.
📊 Recent Team Performance (Last 10 Games)
| Team | Record (W-L-OTL) | Goals For/Game | Goals Against/Game |
| Panthers | 5-5-0 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Lightning | 4-3-3 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
➡️ Panthers have played tighter defensive hockey (2.4 GA/game), while Lightning games have seen more offensive fireworks.
🧠 Expert Analysis: Trends to Know
- The 5.5 total has not been covered in 6 of the Panthers’ last 10 games.
- The 5.5 total has not been covered in 13 of Lightning’s last 25 road games.
- Trend suggests leaning Under 5.5 goals — but both offenses have explosive potential.
🏒 Suggested Same-Game Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| Puck Line | Lightning +1.5 |
| Total | Over 5.5 Goals |
| Player Prop | Barkov Over 1.5 Shots |
💸 $10 Bet Payout: Around $52 depending on the sportsbook.
🔥 Final Panthers vs. Lightning Game 4 Prediction
| Category | Pick |
| Puck Line | Lightning +1.5 |
| Total Goals | Over 5.5 |
| Moneyline | Panthers -142 |
| Final Score | Panthers 4, Lightning 3 |
Summary:
Expect another tightly-contested battle in Sunrise. Tampa Bay will push the Panthers to the limit, but Florida’s defensive core and Sergei Bobrovsky’s solid play should ultimately help secure a narrow win. Betting angles point to Lightning covering +1.5 and the Over 5.5 sneaking through late.
