Check our Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett prediction here. It’s youth vs. experience, brawn vs. flash, and pure chaos in the co-main event at UFC 314 as Michael Chandler returns to the Octagon to face undefeated UFC star Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett in a lightweight battle that promises violence, flair, and fireworks.
Check out our fully UFC 314 fight card preview here.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
Where To Watch Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett? (April 12, 2025)
Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Start Time: Main Card begins at 10 p.m. ET | Co-main event expected at approx. 11:45 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Don’t know how UFC betting works? Check out here.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Michael Chandler | Paddy Pimblett |
| Record | 23-9 (2-4 UFC) | 22-3 (6-0 UFC) |
| Age | 38 | 30 |
| Height | 5’8″ | 5’10” |
| Reach | 71.5″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Team | Sanford MMA | Next Gen MMA |
| Last Fight | Loss vs Charles Oliveira (UD) | Win vs King Green (Sub) |
🔥 Recent Momentum
- Paddy Pimblett is riding a 6-0 UFC streak, including a July 2024 submission win over King Green. The Liverpool native has evolved from a hype train to a legit contender, polishing up his striking and showing off an elite ground game with 10 career submission wins.
- Michael Chandler, meanwhile, is 1-3 in his last four and hasn’t fought since November 2024. Though past his physical peak, the former Bellator champion remains dangerous with KO power in both hands and All-American wrestling pedigree.
🧠 Key X-Factors
Chandler’s Path to Victory
- ✅ Aggressive start: Chandler thrives when he pushes the pace early.
- ✅ Left-hand power: His left has become his sneaky money shot in recent bouts.
- ✅ Ground & pound: If he gets top control, he can do serious damage or even finish it.
Pimblett’s Path to Victory
- ✅ Cardio & youth: At 30, Paddy can extend the fight and take over late.
- ✅ Crafty clinch & submissions: His jiu-jitsu is slick, especially when opponents shoot recklessly.
- ✅ Range: He’ll enjoy a 1.5” reach advantage and needs to use kicks to keep Chandler outside.
💥 Fighter Quotes
Michael Chandler:
“I’m going to go out there and get my hand raised and finish Paddy Pimblett in spectacular fashion. This is the people’s main event.”
Paddy Pimblett:
“He’s gonna come out and try and take my head off. But I tower over him. He’s gonna feel the difference come fight night.”
🧪 Chandler vs. Paddy Betting Odds
- Paddy Pimblett: -160 (favorite)
- Michael Chandler: +124 (underdog)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds
- Most likely finish: Inside the distance by either man
🧠 Expert Picks & Fight Talk: Who Has the Edge?
MMA’s biggest voices are split when it comes to Chandler vs. Pimblett, and that only makes this co-main event more electric. Here’s what some of the sport’s elite fighters, coaches, and analysts are saying, according to BBC:
🗣 Arnold Allen (UFC Featherweight Contender)
Pick: Pimblett (Submission)
“Paddy’s jiu-jitsu usurps Chandler’s wrestling. I think he snatches a triangle when Chandler rushes in.”
🗣 Michael Chandler (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Himself (KO)
“This is the people’s main event. I’m finishing Paddy in spectacular fashion.”
🗣 Paddy Pimblett (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Himself (Range + Sub)
“I tower over him. I’ll keep my distance and he’ll see that come fight night.”
🗣 Henry Cejudo (Former UFC Double Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Upset)
“I’m smelling an upset. Paddy is better than we think.”
🗣 Robert Whittaker (Former UFC Middleweight Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Submission)
“Paddy’s volume and subs win this. Chandler fades, and Paddy pounces.”
🗣 Jamahal Hill (Former UFC Light-Heavyweight Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Kicks + Tactics)
“If Paddy targets the legs, he’ll find the shots.”
🗣 Israel Adesanya (Former UFC Middleweight Champ)
Pick: Chandler (Early KO) or Pimblett (Decision)
“If it goes past Round 1, I lean Paddy. But Chandler can blitz him early.”
🗣 Sean O’Malley (UFC Bantamweight Champion)
Pick: Draw
“No clue who wins. Chandler is a savage. Paddy is skilled. This one’s a toss-up.”
🗣 John Kavanagh (MMA Coach)
Pick: Pimblett (RNC)
“Paddy gets the rear-naked choke in Round 1 or 2. He’s rangy and scrappy.”
🗣 Mauricio Ruffy (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Pimblett (Momentum)
“Momentum’s on Paddy’s side. I’m going with the Englishman.”
🗣 Jared Cannonier (UFC Light-Heavyweight Contender)
Pick: Chandler (Power)
“Paddy’s tough, but Chandler hits too hard. He grinds it out.”
🗣 Dustin Poirier (UFC Lightweight Contender)
Pick: Chandler (Confident)
“Chandler all day. Go hard on the money.”
🤑 Best Bets & ClutchBuzz Parlay Plays
✅ Straight Picks
- 🔥 Michael Chandler ML (+124) – Value play. Chandler still has the power and wrestling to overwhelm.
- 🧠 Fight doesn’t go to decision (-230) – Both men have a combined 24 finishes in the first round.
🧩 Prop Bets to Watch
- 💥 Chandler by KO/TKO: +220
- 🛑 Pimblett by submission: +260
- 🕰️ Fight to end in Round 2: +450
- ⚔️ Total rounds under 2.5: -135
🎯 ClutchBuzz Same-Fight Parlay (+670)
- Chandler ML
- Under 2.5 Rounds
- Fight ends in KO/TKO
🔮 Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction: Who Wins?
Paddy Pimblett is no joke. His BJJ is elite, his size is real and his confidence is soaring. But this is a massive step up. Chandler may be 38, but he’s still lightning fast, hits like a truck, and has been through wars with the best.
If Paddy can survive the early storm, it becomes a coin flip. But our gut says Chandler lands big early and finishes it.
📣 Pick: Michael Chandler via 1st-Round KO
📈 ClutchBuzz Final Grade
| Fighter | Power | Cardio | Wrestling | BJJ | Experience | Overall Edge |
| Chandler | 🔥🔥🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 | ➕ Chandler |
| Pimblett | 🔥🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 | 🔥🔥🔥 | – |
