Check today’s Garry vs. Prates prediction here. The Octagon is back in Kansas City, and weโve got a welterweight war ready to headline!
๐จ No. 7 Ian Machado Garry faces off against knockout machine Carlos Prates at UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates, live from the T-Mobile Center.
Buckle up โ this card is packed with killers, crazy value, and perfect parlay potential!
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๐บ Where to Watch Machado Garry vs. Prates? (Apr 26, 2025)
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Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
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Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
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Prelims Start: 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+
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Main Card Start: 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2 and ESPN+
๐งพ Garry vs. Prates โ Full Betting Odds Table
Market | Odds |
Moneyline | Ian Machado Garry (-135) ๐ฅ / Carlos Prates (+115) ๐ |
Fight to Go the Distance | Yes (+150) โ / No (-210) ๐ฅ |
Garry by KO/TKO/DQ | +330 โก |
Garry by Decision | +240 ๐ |
Prates by KO/TKO/DQ | +200 ๐จ |
Prates by Decision | +400 ๐ |
Garry to Win in Round 3 | +800 โณ |
Prates to Win in Round 1 | +400 ๐ฅ |
๐ฅ Main Event Breakdown: Machado Garry vs. Prates
After suffering his first career loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov, Ian Machado Garry (-135) is hungry to bounce back and remind everyone why he was once pegged as the next welterweight king. Sharp footwork, pinpoint striking, and a strong chin โ Garryโs got the full package, but the pressureโs on.
Tale of the Tape
- Ian Machado Garry: 27 years old | 15-1 record | 7 KOs, 1 submission
- Carlos Prates: 31 years old | 21-6 record | 16 KOs, 3 submissions
Machado Garry: Looking to Bounce Back
Ian Machado Garry tasted defeat for the first time in his professional career last December at UFC 310, dropping a unanimous decision to Shavkat Rakhmonov in a welterweight title eliminator. However, the Irish striker remains one of the division’s brightest prospects.
The former Cage Warriors champion built a perfect 15-0 record before his setback, highlighted by a dominant decision over Michael Page and a Performance of the Night knockout against Daniel Rodriguez. Known for his technical striking, fluid movement, and high fight IQ, Machado Garry enters Saturdayโs contest as a slight -135 favorite, looking to reassert himself in the title hunt.
Prates: A Knockout Artist on a Tear
Standing across the cage? Carlos Prates (+115), the Brazilian wrecking ball with four consecutive Performance of the Night bonuses. This dudeโs fists are heat-seeking missiles. Prates has the power to end anyoneโs night in a blink โ and if Garry isnโt careful, the Kansas City crowd could witness a brutal upset.
Carlos Prates has quickly turned heads since arriving in the UFC. Debuting in 2024, the Brazilian slugger has racked up four straight Performance of the Night bonuses, showcasing devastating power and relentless aggression. His most recent run includes highlight-reel knockouts that have made him one of the divisionโs most dangerous dark horses.
Boasting an incredible 16 knockouts among his 21 career wins, Prates is eager to continue his climb toward the top 10. Priced at +115 underdog odds, heโll look to turn Saturdayโs bout into a firefight โ a style that plays directly to his strengths.
๐ The Betting Angle: Garryโs technique vs. Prates’ violence. Odds say this one wonโt go the distance (-210), and honestly, it feels like someoneโs hitting the canvas by Round 3.
๐ฏ Top Prop Bets: Machado Garry vs. Prates
๐ฅ Method of Victory
- Ian Machado Garry by KO/TKO/DQ: +330
- Garry’s striking precision could lead to a stoppage if he controls the pace.โ
- Ian Machado Garry by Decision: +240
- Utilizing his technical skills, Garry might outpoint Prates over three rounds.โ
- Carlos Prates by KO/TKO/DQ: +200
- Prates’ power makes this a plausible outcome if he lands cleanly.โ
- Carlos Prates by Decision: +400
- Less likely, but if Prates manages to outwork Garry, this could be the result.โ
โฑ๏ธ Round Betting
- Garry to Win in Round 3: +800
- If Garry’s strategy is to wear down Prates, a late finish is possible.โ
- Prates to Win in Round 1: +400
- Prates often starts strong; an early knockout isn’t out of the question.โ
โณ Fight Duration
- Fight to Go the Distance: +150
- If both fighters are cautious, a full three rounds could ensue.โ
- Fight Not to Go the Distance: -210
- Given both fighters’ finishing abilities, an early end is anticipated.โ
ClutchBuzz Pick: Garry by Decision (+240) โ โGarry’s technical prowess might see him outpointing Prates over three rounds
๐ง Parlay Alert: Build Your UFC Fight Night Money Train ๐
Why stop at the main event? Besides Garry vs. Prates prediction, letโs piece together a parlay across the card to supercharge your Saturday night.
๐ฅ Full Card Key Fights:
- Ian Machado Garry (-135) over Carlos Prates
- Zhang Mingyang (-450) over Anthony Smith
- Smith is a gritty vet, but Zhangโs power is just different. Expect a KO finish.
- David Onama (-180) over Giga Chikadze
- Onamaโs pace and physicality could overwhelm Giga, who’s been inactive.
- Michel Pereira (-150) over Abus Magomedov
- Pereiraโs chaos and athleticism should wear down Magomedov in a wild fight.
- Ikram Aliskerov (-500) over Andre Muniz
- Aliskerovโs grappling game and cardio look elite. Muniz will struggle once he’s on his back foot.
๐งฎ Suggested Parlay:
- Machado Garry ML
- Zhang Mingyang ML
- David Onama ML
- Michel Pereira ML
- Ikram Aliskerov ML
โ Parlay Odds: Around +350 (depending on your sportsbook)
Risk $100 to win $350 โ not bad for a Saturday sweat, homies!
๐ฅ ClutchBuzz Final Garry vs. Prates Prediction
This card has knockout city written all over it. If you love action-packed fights, sharp striking battles, and sneaky underdog chaos, youโre gonna love Saturday night.
Ride with Garry to bounce back, add the heavy favorites for security, and let’s cash in! ๐ธ๐ฅ